- Ceasefire declared: Trump announced a “complete and total ceasefire” on June 23–24, with Iran expected to halt first and Israel to follow 12 hours later.
- Immediate violations: Both sides accuse each other of breaking the truce within hours:
- Israel reported Iranian missile launches into its airspace shortly after the ceasefire took effect—targeting northern regions and Beersheba (with civilians killed).
- Iran denies any post-ceasefire missile launches, claiming Israel continued airstrikes against Tehran and other military sites.
Escalation: What Each Side is Doing
- Israel: Defense Minister Katz has ordered the IDF to launch “high-intensity strikes” on Iranian military and paramilitary targets in Tehran, vowing to act in force against any violations.
- Iran: While maintaining it respected the ceasefire if Israel also held fire, Iran still claims to have launched missiles before the agreement took effect.
U.S. Involvement & Global Reactions
- Trump has publicly reprimanded both sides, particularly warning Israel to “bring your pilots home” and to stop bombings.
- International concern: Qatar, Turkey, France, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia have applauded the ceasefire and urged compliance, while regional tensions remain high due to ongoing Gaza violence.
At a Glance
| Key Point | Details |
|---|---|
| Ceasefire terms | Phased halt—first Iran, then Israel 12h later |
| Violations claimed | Missile launches & airstrikes by both |
| Military response | Israel poised for new strikes on Tehran |
| Trump’s stance | Criticizes both, especially Israel |
| Global reaction | Mixed—support for truce but mistrust high |
| Humanitarian angle | Gaza remains under severe strain |
What’s Next?
- Will the ceasefire hold? Trust is low—each side is preparing for renewed attacks.
- Regional spillover risk: Iran-backed proxies (Hezbollah, militias) are on high alert.
- Diplomatic pressure: Gulf states and Europe are pushing for renewed dialogue, but on-the-ground actions are undermining progress.
Bottom Line
The ceasefire agreement is in place in name, but immediate violations have shattered its credibility. Israel and Iran continue to trade blame, and both are preparing for renewed military engagement. While diplomacy has gained international backing, practical enforcement remains negligible. The next 24–72 hours are critical in determining whether this ceasefire is a temporary pause—or the brief calm before a broader escalation.
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